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Summary: (co-)authored 700+ referred articles in journals including 70+ articles in high-profile ones such as Nature, Nature Climate Change, Nature Communications, Nature Geoscience, Nature Energy, Nature Sustainability, Nature Water, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Nature Ecology & Evolution, Science, Science Advances, Science Bulletin, National Science Review, The Innovation, and PNAS; 10+ referred books or book chapters; and 200+ conference proceedings or reports. Total citations= 30,011, H-index=87 (according to Web of Science). Selected into Clarivate’s global “Highly Cited Scientists” list multiple times. Publications until 2024 are listed at his old website at http://rcg.gvc.gu.se/dc/. *=corresponding author.

Peer-reviewed articles

1. Lin, Q., J. Chen, and D. Chen, 2026: Sensitivity of precipitation to glacier changes in the Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Hydrology, 666, 134862. DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134862.

2. Liu, R., L. Wang, K. Yang, S. Gao, T. Yao, and D. Chen*, 2026: Designing precipitation networks from altitudinal gradient patterns in global mountain basins. Advances in Climate Change Research. DOI:10.1016/j.accre.2026.02.007.

3. Meng, J. and D. Chen*, 2026: The domino effect of climate tipping points: a multidisciplinary perspective on global risks. National Science Review, nwag042. DOI:10.1093/nsr/nwag042.

4. Ospina, D., P. Mirazo, R. P. Allan, S. Basnett, A. Bastos, N. Bhattarai, W. Broadgate, D. J. Broekhoff, M. Bustamante, D. Chen, Y. Choi, P. Cox, L. A. Domeignoz-Horta, K. L. Ebi, P. Friedlingstein, T. L. Frölicher, S. Fuss, H. F. Goessling, N. Gruber, Q. He, S. Hebden, N. Hedrich, A. Heilemann, M. Hirota, Ø. Hodnebrog, G. Hugelius, S. Izquierdo-Tort, S. Juhola, F. Kasuga, P. Ke, D. I. Kelley, Ş. Kilkiş, M. Kotz, N. Kumarasinghe, W. F. Lamb, S.-Y. Lee, J. Liu, C. N. Maesano, M. A. Martin, G. G. Mazzochini, C. J. Merchant, A. S. Mori, J. Morris, Å. Persson, H.-O. Pörtner, B. S. Probst, J. Ramage, E. Razanatsoa, A. Redman, J. Rockström, R. R. Rodrigues, S. Ruehr, S. J. Ryan, R. Sanchez-Rodriguez, C.-F. Schleussner, P. Schlosser, W. A. Scott, J. C. Semenza, H. Seybold, D. T. Shindell, G. B. Sioen, K. E. Smith, Y. Sokona, A. H. Stechemesser, T. F. Stocker, S. H. Su, D. Thiam, G. P. Trencher, A.-M. Virkkala, L. Warszawski, S. R. Weiskopf, H. Wu, and S. Zhu, 2026: Ten new insights in climate science 2025. Global Sustainability, pp. 1–73. DOI:10.1017/sus.2025.10043.

5. Wang, L., J. Long, D. Chen, N. Li, X. Li, and T. Yao, 2026: Divergent mountain runoff dynamics but declining per capita freshwater availability across the Third Pole by mid-21st century. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. DOI:10.1038/s41612-025-01313-4.

6. Wang, X., S. Wei, X. Gou, D. Chen, M. Lu, G. Pang, L. Qie, Y. Li, Q. Wang, L. Liu, T. Wang, M. Yang, and Y. F. Kerimbayevich, 2026: Accelerated China’s cold regions contraction under climate warming. Gondwana Research, 149, 229–245. DOI:10.1016/j.gr.2025.08.004.

7. Wang, Y., H. Gao, H. Jin, Q. Xi, P. Wang, and D. Chen, 2026: Root zone storage capacity reveals ecohydrological turning points in Tibetan Plateau permafrost regions. Catena, 263, 109716. DOI:10.1016/j.catena.2025.109716.

8. Wei, Y., C. Mu, D. Chen*, X. Mo, B. Elberling, W. Zhang, G. Zhang, C. Zhang, K. Li, X. Li, M. Shi, M. Mu, X. Wang, D. Wei, T. Dou, X. Du, X. Peng, Y. Jin, J. Xiao, and P. Ciais, 2026: Global warming driving increased winter CO2 emissions in the Northern Hemisphere permafrost region. The Innovation Geoscience, 100185. DOI:10.59717/j.xinn-geo.2026.100185.

9. Xu, D., D. Chen, and Y. Lin, 2026: Extratropical cyclones as buffers and drivers of changes in surface mass balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet under global warming. Advances in Climate Change Research. DOI:10.1016/j.accre.2026.02.004.

10. Xu, T., H. Pang, S. Wu, Y. Zheng, H. Guo, W. Zhang, P. Zhang, D. Chen, and S. Hou, 2026: Warming of the mid‐troposphere driven by evapotranspiration during compound heatwave and drought events. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(3), e2025GL119667. DOI:10.1029/2025gl119667.

11. Yang, L., C. Gao, F. Liu, A. Robock, W. Sun, and D. Chen, 2026: Persistent stratospheric cold-season aerosols from the 1783 Laki eruption produced winter warming over Northern Eurasia. Communications Earth & Environment, 7(1), 173. DOI:10.1038/s43247-026-03197-5.

12. Yue, Y., S. Yuan, L. Wang, X. Hao, J. Lu, Q. Li, X. Zhang, X. Ouyang, H. Liu, H. Lu, D. Chen, X. Xiao, K. Wang, R. Fensholt, and M. Brandt, 2026: Maize cultivation and forest collapse over five centuries in southern China. Communications Earth & Environment. DOI:10.1038/s43247-026-03224-5.

13. Cai, Z., Q. You, J. A. Screen, H. W. Chen, R. Zhang, Z. Zuo, D. Chen, J. Cohen, S. Kang, and R. Zhang, 2025: Lessened projections of Arctic warming and wetting after correcting for model errors in global warming and sea ice cover. Science Advances, 11(10), eadr6413. DOI:10.1126/sciadv.adr6413.

14. Cao, D., X. Chen, D. Chen, Y. Du, Y. Luo, Y. Hu, Q. Zhang, Y. Ma, F. Chen, 2025: Two types of heavy precipitation in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. Science Bulletin, 70(5), 748-755. DOI:10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.031.

15. Chen, D.*, 2025: Challenges in cross-disciplinary interactions for sustainable development goals. Nexus, 2(1), 100046. DOI:10.1016/j.ynexs HYPERLINK "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ynexs.2024.100046" HYPERLINK "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ynexs.2024.100046" HYPERLINK "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ynexs.2024.100046".2024.100046.

16. Chen, D. *, 2025: Deepening and broadening critical zone science: new directions for studying multi-sphere coupling and coastal systems. Chinese Science Bulletin, 70(32), 5404–5406. DOI:10.1360/CSB-2025-5559. (in Chinese).

17. Ding, J., Y. Zheng, F. Xu, C. V. Cannistraci, X. Dong, P. Santi, G. Caldarelli, Y. Sun, Q. R. Wang, B. K. Szymanski, C. Ratti, T. Ideker, J. Gao, Y. Li, and D. Chen*, 2025: Understanding emergence in complex systems using abductive AI. Nature Reviews Physics, 7(12), 675–677. DOI:10.1038/s42254-025-00895-5.

18. Dong, T., Z. Zeng, M. Pan, D. Wang, Y. Chen, L. Liang, S. Yang, Y. Jin, S. Luo, S. Liang, X. Huang, D. Zhao, A. D. Ziegler, D. Chen, L. Z. X. Li, T. Zhou, and D. Zhang, 2025: Record-breaking 2023 marine heatwaves. Science, 389(6758), 369. DOI:10.1126/science.adr0910.

19. Dong, W., Q. Ran, F. Liu, R. Deng, J. Yang, K. Wang, X. Wang, D. Zheng, C. Li, W. Liang, J. Chou, W. Yuan, and D. Chen, 2025: Rising military spending jeopardizes climate targets. Nature Communications, 16(1), 4766. DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-59877-x.

20. Du, B., J. Zhou, D. Chen, H. Liu, B. Liu, R. Liu, and L. Wang, 2025: Importance of fluvial inflows in the intra-lake heterogeneity of surface water temperatures on the Tibetan Plateau. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1), 198. DOI:10.1038/s41612-025-01083-z.

21. Du, S., H. Sun, B. Yan, C. Liang, D. Chen, X. Deng, J. Xue, H. Li, and W. Zhang, 2025: China's electricity transmission reduces carbon emissions but causes water resource depletion. Energy, 338, 138764. DOI:10.1016/j.energy.2025.138764.

22. Gao, J., K. Fang, J. M. Chen, J. Li, S. Rossi, D. Chen, H. W. Linderholm, J. J. Camarero, J. Esper, N. K. Davi, T. F. Au, and Z. Guo, 2025: Climate-driven patterns of global tree longevity. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 610. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02609-2.

23. Gao, Y., X. Guo, W. Kou, X. Guo, S. Zhang, H. Gao, and D. Chen*, 2025: Advancing high-resolution modeling to unravel the interplay between extreme weather events and air pollution under global warming. Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering, 19(7), 100. DOI:10.1007/s11783-025-2020-9.

24. Guo, W., S. Huang, L. Liu, G. Leng, Q. Huang, D. Chen, J. Li, P. Li, Y. Wang, X. Zhu, and J. Peng, 2025: Global critical drought thresholds of terrestrial carbon sink–source transition. Global Change Biology, 31(3), e70129. DOI:10.1111/gcb.70129.

25. He, M., W. Wu, Y. Xiao, H. Zhang, D. Li, T. Yao, Y. Luo, H. Weng, Y. Chang, Y. Bi, D. Chen*, Y. Guan, L. He, and E. E. Maeda, 2025: Spatial climate heterogeneity as a moderator of vegetation migration dynamics on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(20), e2025gl117697. DOI:10.1029/2025gl117697.

26. Hu, G., Z. Sun, L. Zhao, D. Chen, D. Zou, C.-L. Ping, W. Zhang, Y. Xiao, G. Liu, R. Li, X. Wu, Y. Wu, and G. Cheng, 2025: The crucial role of ground ice in slowing permafrost degradation. Science Bulletin. DOI: 10.1016/j.scib.2025.11.042.

27. Huang, H., J. Liu, L. Guillaumot, A. Chen, I. E. M. de Graaf, and D. Chen, 2025: Contrasting impacts of irrigation and deforestation on Lancang-Mekong River Basin hydrology. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 107. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02093-8.

28. Jiang, N., C. Zhu, M. J. McPhaden, Z.-Z. Hu, T. Lian, C. Zhou, and D. Chen, 2025: Atypical warming pattern of strong 2023-24 El Niño boosts global temperatures to new 1.5 °C record. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 1012. ISSN 2662–4435. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02971-1.

29. Jiang, R., H. Lu, D. Chen, K. Yang, D. Guan, G. Huang, and F. Tian, 2025: Transboundary conflict from surface water scarcity under climate change. Nature Communications, 16(1), 8166. DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-63568-y.

30. Li, X., H. Guo, G. Cheng, X. Song, Y. Ran, M. Feng, T. Che, X. Li, L. Wang, A. Duan, D. Shangguan, D. Chen, R. Jin, J. Deng, J. Su, and B. Cao, 2025: Polar regions are critical in achieving global sustainable development goals. Nature Communications, 16(1), 3879. DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-59178-3.

31. Liang, S., A. D. Ziegler, P. B. Reich, K. Zhu, D. Wang, X. Jiang, D. Chen, P. Ciais, and Z. Zeng, 2025: Climate mitigation potential for targeted forestation after considering climate change, fires, and albedo. Science Advances, 11(15), eadn7915. DOI:10.1126/sciadv.adn7915.

32. Lin, C., K. Yang, D. Chen, S. Yue, X. Zhou, Y. Lei, J. Pan, X. Cao, Y. Xue, and J. Shi, 2025: Enduring local impact of springtime snow cover over the Third Pole. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1), 384. DOI:10.1038/s41612-025-01264-w.

33. Liu, H., L. Wang, D. Chen, T. Yao, A. Bashir, M. Shrestha, T. Conradt, S. Nepal, J. Zhou, X. Li, N. Li, R. Liu, and B. Xu, 2025: Importance of melting water in the Third Pole transboundary fluvial floods. Science Bulletin, 70(21), 3504–3508. DOI:10.1016/j.scib.2025.06.038.

34. Liu, Y., H. Song, Z. An, Q. Li, S. W. Leavitt, U. Büntgen, Q. Cai, R. Liu, C. Fang, C. Sun, K. Treydte, M. Ren, L. Mo, Y. Song, W. Cai, Q. Zhang, W. Zhou, A. Bräuning, J. Grießinger, D. Chen, H. W. Linderholm, A. Sinha, H. Cheng, L. Wang, Y. Lei, J. Sun, W. Gong, X. Li, L. Cui, L. Ning, L. Wan, T. W. Crowther, and C. M. Zohner, 2025: Recent centennial drought on the Tibetan Plateau is outstanding within the past 3500 years. Nature Communications, 16(1), 1311. DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-56687-z.

35. Liu, Z., Y. H. Fu, D. Chen, T. W. Crowther, R. Ding, F. Hao, Y. Vitasse, X. Zhang, S. Zhou, and C. M. Zohner, 2025: Increased early-season productivity drives earlier peak of vegetation photosynthesis across the Northern Hemisphere. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 157. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02104-8.

36. Lu, F., H. Lu, Y. Gu, P. Lin, Q. Zhang, Z. Lu, H. Zhang, F. Yang, X. Dong, S. Yi, D. Chen, F. S. R. Pausata, M. Ben-Yami, J. V. Mecking, 2025: Tipping point-induced abrupt shifts in East Asian hydroclimate since the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Communications, 16, 477. DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-55888-w.

37. Luo, B., C. Xiao, D. Luo, Q. Fu, D. Chen, Q. Zhang, Y. Ge, and Y. Diao, 2025: Atmospheric and oceanic drivers behind the 2023 Canadian wildfires. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 446. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02387-x.

38. Luo, D., L. Wang, and D. Chen, 2025: Changes and impacts of the vulnerable cryosphere. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1), 237. DOI:10.1038/s41612-025-01101-0.

39. Ma, Y., W. Sun, J. Liu, L. Ning, D. Chen, K. Zhao, X. Meng, M. Yan, and H. Lu, 2025: Continental shelf area inundation drove reduced temperature seasonality in East Asia during the last deglaciation. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1), 194. DOI:10.1038/s41612-025-01091-z.

40. Qiao, L., Z. Zuo, R. Zhang, W. Mei, D. Chen, M. Chang, and K. Zhang, 2025: Extreme dry-hot in North America and Europe: The amplified role of warming-enhanced land-air coupling. National Science Review, 12(11), nwaf435. DOI:10.1093/nsr/nwaf435.

41. Qiu, Y., J. Chen, D. Chen, W. Thiery, D. Mercado-Bettín, L. Xiong, J. Xia, and R. I. Woolway, 2025: Enhanced heating effect of lakes under global warming. Nature Communications, 16(1), 3954. DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-59291-3.

42. Qiu, Y., J. Chen, and D. Chen, 2025: Changes in lake surface temperature on the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022 and their driving factors. Science China Earth Sciences, 68(5), 1641–1655. DOI:10.1007/s11430-024-1527-4.

43. Shen, C., Z. Li, F. Liu, H. W. Chen, D. Chen*, 2025: A robust reduction in near-surface wind speed after volcanic eruptions: Implications for wind energy generation. The Innovation, 6(1), 100734. DOI:10.1016/j.xinn.2024.100734.

44. Shen, C., H. S. Yuan, Z. B. Li, J. Piao, Y. Chang, and D. Chen*, 2025: Unravelling the future role of internal variability in South Asian near-surface wind speed. Earth System Dynamics, 16(6), 1959. DOI:10.5194/esd-16-1959-2025.

45. Sun, W., B. Wang, J. Liu, D. A. Bello, U. Büntgen, E. Xoplaki, D. Chen, H. Shi, and N. Di Cosmo, 2025: Impact of the centennial changes in ENSO on the rise of the Chinese Qing empire. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1), 61. DOI:10.1038/s41612-025-00950-z.

46. Sun, X., X. Zhong, X. Xu, Y. Huang, H. Li, J. D. Neelin, D. Chen, J. Feng, W. Han, L. Wu, and Y. Qi, 2025: A data-to-forecast machine learning system for global weather. Nature Communications, 16(1), 6658. DOI:10.1038/s41467-025-62024-1.

47. Tan, X., Y. Cheng, Q. Chao, J. Kukulies, M. L. Bettolli, and D. Chen*, 2025: COP30 in Belém: Ten years after Paris and the achievements and shortfalls of global climate governance. The Innovation, p. 101218. DOI:10.1016/j.xinn.2025.101218.

48. Tan, X., Z. Peng, Y. Cheng, Y. Wang, Q. Chao, X. Huang, H. Yan, and D. Chen*, 2025: Leveraging artificial intelligence for research and action on climate change: opportunities, challenges, and future directions. Science Bulletin, 70(17), 2886. DOI:10.1016/j.scib.2025.06.035.

49. Tang, Q., and D. Chen, 2025: Global change exacerbates water cycle imbalances and intensifies water resource crises. Science China Earth Sciences, 68(9), 3077–3080. DOI:10.1007/s11430-025-1661-5.

50. Tu, H., S. Wang, J. Meng, Y. Zhang, X. Chen, D. Chen, and J. Fan, 2025: Eigen microstate analysis unveils climate dynamics. Science China Physics, Mechanics & Astronomy, 68(4), 240511. DOI:10.1007/s11433-024-2586-2.

51. Wang, L., X. Li, A. Lutz, S. Nepal, D. Chen, T. Yao, F. Su, L. Cuo, Z. Yao, Y. Zhang, Z. Hu, J. Huang, M. Hou, R. Liu, J. Long, C. Chai, Z. Liu, A. Bashir, S. Khanal, H. Sun, Y. Nie, Y. Zhang, and T. Wang, 2025: Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 907. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02854-5.

52. Witharana, L., D. Chen*, J. Curio, and A. Burman, 2025: Traditional ecological knowledge in High Mountain Asia: A pathway to climate resilience in agriculture amidst changing climates. Advances in Climate Change Research, 16(1), 167–182. DOI:10.1016/j.accre.2025.01.009.

53. Xia, C., L. Yue, D. Chen*, Y. Li, A. Xue, Z. Li, Q. He, G. Zhang, D. B. Kattel, L. Lei, and M. Zhou, 2025: Hydro trace: An interpretable attention-based AI for glacio-hydrological modeling. Environmental Research Communications, 7(11), 115013. DOI:10.1088/2515-7620/ae1a41.

54. Xu, L., X. Yang, D. Chen, D. Sornette, A. V. Prishchepov, S. Ding, W. Pang, K. Suryanto Pribadi, B. Di, and X. Wang, 2025: Global coastal human settlement retreat driven by vulnerability to coastal climate hazards. Nature Climate Change, 15, 1060–1070. DOI:10.1038/s41558-025-02435-6.

55. Yang, J., S. Kang, D. Chen, K. Duan, N. Wang, W. Du, L. Zhao, H. Deng, R. Wang, Z. Zhang, and R. R. Gillies, 2025: Reduced solid water storage over the Tibetan Plateau caused by black carbon. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 430. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02335-9.

56. Yang, K., X. Zhou, X. Ma, D. Chen, F. Chen, Y. Dai, Y. Jiang, A. Huang, Y. Lin, J. Liu, H. Lu, J. Sun, J. Wang, Y. Wang, S. Yue, D. Zhao, and X. Li, 2025: A physically-refined regional climate model for the Tibetan Plateau. Science Bulletin, 70(23), 4070–4079. DOI:10.1016/j.scib.2025.10.035.

57. Yang, X., D. Chen*, I. Wahab, and A. Burman, 2025: Evidence of climate and economic drivers affecting migration in an unequal and warming world. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 782. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02811-2.

58. Yang, X., H. Luo, Z. Zhong, C.-H. Ho, G. Zeng, H.-W. Lai, T. Ou, W.-C. Wang, and D. Chen*, 2025: Arctic wildfire carbon emissions strongly influenced by midsummer Tibetan Plateau precipitation. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 559. DOI:10.1038/s43247-025-02505-9.

59. Yi, C., M. Rietkerk, J. M. Anderies, D. Chen, V. Dakos, P. D. L. Ritchie, J. C Rocha, M. Milkoreit, C. Quinn, 2025: Principles for guiding future research on resilience and tipping points. Environmental Research Letters, 20(3), 031008. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/adb7f3.

60. Zheng, D., X. Yan, D. Tong, S.J. Davis, K. Caldeira, Y. Lin, Y. Guo, J. Li, P. Wang, L. Ping, S. Feng, Y. Liu, J. Cheng, D. Chen, K. He, and Q. Zhang, 2025: Strategies for climate-resilient global wind and solar power systems. Nature, 643(8074), 1263–1270. DOI:10.1038/s41586-025-09266-7.

Books or book chapters

1. Chen, D., Liu, J., & Tang, Q. (Eds.). 2024: Water Resources in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin: Impact of Climate Change and Human Interventions. Springer Nature Singapore. DOI:10.1007/978-981-97-0759-1.